← EFL League One 2023-24 · Fri, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Bourne
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Exeter win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton +0 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Exeter +0 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Ben Purrington · Exeter |
| 37' | 🟨 | Terell Thomas · Charlton |
| 78' | 🟨 | Ryan Woods · Exeter |
| 87' | ⚽ (og) | Cheick Diabaté · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Exeter | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | St James Park |
| coach days | 545.00 | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1418.80 | 1456.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.08 | 38.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 63.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| league points | 47.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 60.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | -1.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| state index | 0.02 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | -1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |