← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Yates
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Northampton win | 19% | 5.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Wycombe −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over | 44% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Monthe · Northampton |
| 36' | 🟨 | Jack Sowerby · Northampton |
| 69' | ⚽ | Matt Butcher · Wycombe |
| 79' | 🟨 | Richard Kone · Wycombe |
| 84' | ⚽ | Matt Butcher · Wycombe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aaron McGowan · Northampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.39 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 409.00 | 1139.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.19 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1476.61 | 1442.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.72 | -7.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.96 | -1.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.62 |
| league points | 47.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -2.49 | -0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.47 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |