← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 41% | 2.39 |
| Wigan win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Blackpool +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Babajide Adeeko · Wigan |
| 26' | ⚽ | Scott Smith · Wigan |
| 42' | 🟨 | George Byers · Blackpool |
| 45' | 🟨 | Charlie Hughes · Wigan |
| 49' | 🟨 | Jordan Jones · Wigan |
| 62' | 🟨 | Matthew Pennington · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wigan | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | DW Stadium |
| coach days | 440.00 | 320.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.59 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1475.75 | 1525.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.77 | 34.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | -0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.60 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | — |
| league points | 55.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.82 | -1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.40 | — |
| state index | -0.29 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.20 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 38.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |