← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Speedie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 52% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Cambridge win | 22% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cambridge −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Sam Smith · Reading |
| 45' | ⚽ | Femi Azeez · Reading |
| 62' | ⚽ | Lewis Wing · Reading |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ryan Bennett · Cambridge |
| 85' | ⚽ | Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan · Reading |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Cambridge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Select Car Leasing Stadium |
| coach days | 289.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1454.85 | 1357.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.75 | -26.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -1.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 66.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.63 |
| league points | 45.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 64.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | -1.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 31.41 | — |
| state index | -0.33 | -1.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |