← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Reeves
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 37% | 2.61 |
| Fleetwood Town win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Fleetwood Town +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Jayden Stockley · Fleetwood Town |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Alfie May · Charlton |
| 84' | ⚽ | Ryan Graydon · Fleetwood Town |
| 88' | 🟨 | Ryan Broom · Fleetwood Town |
| 90' | 🟨 | Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu · Fleetwood Town |
| 90' | 🟨 | Freddie Ladapo · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 10 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fleetwood Town | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Highbury Stadium |
| coach days | 106.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.50 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1385.41 | 1456.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.34 | 42.38 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.60 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| league points | 33.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 60.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.87 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | -1.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.15 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |