← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Mar 12, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Tallis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Wigan win | 23% | 4.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Wigan −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ (og) | Sam Tickle · Wycombe |
| 27' | 🟨 | Jonny Smith · Wigan |
| 72' | 🟨 | Jack Grimmer · Wycombe |
| 79' | 🟨 | Franco Ravizzoli · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 11 |
| 4 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 405.00 | 436.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 3.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1467.85 | 1484.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.18 | 6.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| league points | 44.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.49 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | -2.40 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | — | 27.40 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.47 | 1.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |