← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Mar 12, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Oldham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln win | 56% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Cambridge win | 18% | 5.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge −0.75 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Lincoln −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Jack Moylan · Lincoln |
| 25' | ⚽ | Jack Moylan · Lincoln |
| 48' | ⚽ | Joe Taylor · Lincoln |
| 74' | ⚽ | Joe Taylor · Lincoln |
| 80' | 🟨 | Danny Andrew · Cambridge |
| 83' | 🟨 | James Brophy · Cambridge |
| 85' | ⚽ | Timothy Eyoma · Lincoln |
| 86' | ⚽ | Dylan Duffy · Lincoln |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joe Taylor · Lincoln |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dylan Duffy · Lincoln |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lincoln | Cambridge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | LNER Stadium |
| coach days | 132.00 | 11.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.31 |
| elo | 1526.23 | 1367.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 53.16 | -23.07 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | -1.73 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 67.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.90 | 0.71 |
| league points | 55.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.60 | 61.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.49 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 6.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.45 | -2.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 1.80 |
| state index | 0.94 | -1.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.54 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |