← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Oldham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Wigan win | 28% | 3.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Wigan +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.68 |
| Over | 42% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Shaqai Forde · Leyton Orient |
| 29' | 🟨 | Ethan Galbraith · Leyton Orient |
| 42' | 🟨 | Ethan Galbraith · Leyton Orient |
| 42' | 🟥 | Ethan Galbraith · Leyton Orient |
| 59' | 🟨 | Charlie Goode · Wigan |
| 73' | ⚽ | Jason Kerr · Wigan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wigan | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | DW Stadium |
| coach days | 433.00 | 739.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 4.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1475.91 | 1486.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.23 | 0.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | -0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.79 |
| league points | 52.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.40 | — |
| state index | -0.47 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.94 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |