← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Herczeg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Fleetwood Town win | 18% | 5.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Fleetwood Town −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Harrison Holgate · Fleetwood Town |
| 28' | 🟨 | Louis Thompson · Stevenage |
| 68' | 🟨 | Harrison Holgate · Fleetwood Town |
| 68' | 🟥 | Harrison Holgate · Fleetwood Town |
| 76' | 🟨 | Shaun Rooney · Fleetwood Town |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jayden Stockley · Fleetwood Town |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stevenage | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| venue | The Lamex Stadium |
| coach days | 739.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 8.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 4.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1499.53 | 1381.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.62 | 17.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.00 | 49.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.58 |
| league points | 60.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.80 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |