← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Brook
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Wycombe win | 30% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Reading −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Nigel Cello Lonwijk · Wycombe |
| 46' | 🟨 | Matt Butcher · Wycombe |
| 68' | 🟨 | Andy Yiadom · Reading |
| 74' | ⚽ | Sam Smith · Reading |
| 88' | 🟨 | Beryly Lubala · Wycombe |
| 88' | ⚽ (pen) | Beryly Lubala · Wycombe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Femi Azeez · Reading |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Select Car Leasing Stadium |
| coach days | 282.00 | 402.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 3.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1471.75 | 1455.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.01 | -15.04 |
| eye test v1 | 0.68 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 45.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 57.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | -2.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 31.41 | — |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | -1.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |