← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Toner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale win | 41% | 2.34 |
| Shrewsbury win | 30% | 3.32 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Port Vale −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Daniel Udoh · Shrewsbury |
| 53' | ⚽ | Tom Bloxham · Shrewsbury |
| 59' | 🟨 | Taylor Perry · Shrewsbury |
| 69' | ⚽ | Baylee Dipepa · Port Vale |
| 87' | 🟨 | Daniel Jones · Port Vale |
| 88' | 🟨 | Carl Winchester · Shrewsbury |
| 90' | 🟨 | Connor Ripley · Port Vale |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Sang · Port Vale |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Port Vale | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | Vale Park |
| coach days | 37.00 | 68.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 3.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1322.67 | 1365.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.09 | -12.70 |
| eye test v1 | -1.25 | -0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | -0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 64.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 32.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.00 | 64.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.00 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.26 | -1.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| state index | -1.80 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |