← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 64% | 1.51 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.50 |
| Carlisle win | 14% | 6.89 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton −1 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Carlisle −1 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Karoy Anderson · Charlton |
| 20' | ⚽ | Luke Armstrong · Carlisle |
| 37' | ⚽ | Alfie May · Charlton |
| 44' | 🟨 | Dylan McGeouch · Carlisle |
| 46' | 🟨 | Rarmani Edmonds-Green · Charlton |
| 54' | ⚽ | Daniel Kanu · Charlton |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Taylor Charters · Carlisle |
| 75' | ⚽ | Alfie May · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 4 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | The Valley |
| coach days | 37.00 | 767.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1452.08 | 1286.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 44.36 | -23.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | -1.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.56 |
| league points | 41.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 0.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -2.14 | -1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| state index | -0.09 | -1.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.83 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |