← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Joyce
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 61% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.34 |
| Burton win | 17% | 5.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burton +1 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Peterboro +1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.74 |
| Under | 44% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 46' | 🟨 | Adedeji Oshilaja · Burton |
| 56' | ⚽ | Ricky-Jade Jones · Peterboro |
| 61' | 🟨 | Jadel Katongo · Peterboro |
| 70' | ⚽ | Ademola Ola-Adebomi · Burton |
| 87' | 🟨 | Thomas Hamer · Burton |
| 88' | ⚽ | Josh Knight · Peterboro |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jonson Clarke-Harris · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burton | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Pirelli Stadium |
| coach days | 68.00 | 433.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1401.34 | 1573.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.10 | -13.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 64.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| league points | 39.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.40 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 63.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.68 | 1.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.43 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.38 | 1.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |