← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Mar 5, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: C. Hicks
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 68% | 1.43 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.25 |
| Northampton win | 13% | 7.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro −1.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Northampton −1.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.51 |
| Under | 36% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Jon Guthrie · Northampton |
| 25' | ⚽ | Ephron Mason-Clark · Peterboro |
| 28' | ⚽ | Kwame Poku · Peterboro |
| 39' | 🟨 | Kieron Bowie · Northampton |
| 45' | ⚽ | Joel Randall · Peterboro |
| 59' | ⚽ | Hector Kyprianou · Peterboro |
| 64' | ⚽ | Josh Knight · Peterboro |
| 75' | 🟨 | Malik Mothersille · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 3 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days | 429.00 | 1128.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.28 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1562.33 | 1464.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.24 | 22.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.20 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 62.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.37 | -1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.06 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |