← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Mar 5, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Jackson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Charlton win | 32% | 3.08 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham +0 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Charlton +0 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Daniel Kanu · Charlton |
| 70' | ⚽ | Liam Sercombe · Cheltenham |
| 86' | 🟨 | Alfie May · Charlton |
| 86' | ⚽ | Tyreeq Bakinson · Charlton |
| 88' | 🟨 | Tyreeq Bakinson · Charlton |
| 90' | ⚽ | Alfie May · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 2 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cheltenham | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Completely-Suzuki Stadium |
| coach days | 643.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1400.19 | 1436.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.53 | 28.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.94 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.71 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| league points | 34.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 60.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.86 | -1.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 0.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.81 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |