← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Bourne
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 53% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.76 |
| Shrewsbury win | 21% | 4.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool +0.5 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Shrewsbury +0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | George Byers · Blackpool |
| 43' | ⚽ | Karamoko Dembélé · Blackpool |
| 45' | 🟨 | Daniel Udoh · Shrewsbury |
| 52' | 🟨 | Jack Hinchy · Shrewsbury |
| 84' | ⚽ | Hayden Coulson · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| coach days | 61.00 | 306.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.28 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1377.99 | 1502.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.32 | 6.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| league points | 38.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 67.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.51 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.36 | -1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.66 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.72 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |