← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Woods
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Northampton win | 32% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Charlton +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Karoy Anderson · Charlton |
| 33' | 🟨 | Tyreece Simpson · Northampton |
| 71' | 🟨 | Conor Coventry · Charlton |
| 76' | 🟨 | Patrick Brough · Northampton |
| 80' | ⚽ | Louis Appéré · Northampton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rarmani Edmonds-Green · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Northampton | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Sixfields Stadium |
| coach days | 1125.00 | 30.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1467.10 | 1433.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.65 | 15.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | — |
| league points | 48.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 60.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.00 | -1.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |