← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Backhouse
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Wigan win | 32% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan −0.25 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Fleetwood Town −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | — · Fleetwood Town |
| 17' | ⚽ | Stephen Humphrys · Wigan |
| 26' | ⚽ | Thelo Aasgaard · Wigan |
| 36' | ⚽ | — · Fleetwood Town |
| 54' | ⚽ | Gavin Kilkenny · Fleetwood Town |
| 61' | ⚽ | Jayden Stockley · Fleetwood Town |
| 90' | 🟨 | Charlie Hughes · Wigan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fleetwood Town | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Highbury Stadium |
| coach days | 92.00 | 426.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.55 | 3.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1363.46 | 1493.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.60 | -10.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.60 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.72 |
| league points | 28.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.49 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 27.40 |
| state index | -0.79 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |