← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Yates
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 63% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.52 |
| Cambridge win | 15% | 6.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton −1 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Cambridge −1 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Victor Adeboyejo · Bolton |
| 35' | ⚽ | George Thomason · Bolton |
| 41' | 🟨 | Sullay Kaikai · Cambridge |
| 46' | 🟨 | Josh Dacres-Cogley · Bolton |
| 66' | 🟨 | Michael Morrison · Cambridge |
| 66' | ⚽ | Aaron Collins · Bolton |
| 70' | 🟨 | George Thomason · Bolton |
| 82' | 🟨 | Kyle Dempsey · Bolton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 5 |
| 11 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bolton | Cambridge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Toughsheet Community Stadium |
| coach days | 1340.00 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1572.12 | 1371.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.46 | -5.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -1.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 67.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.75 |
| league points | 66.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 60.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.40 | 38.40 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.99 | -2.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.29 | -1.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |