← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Feb 27, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Edwards
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Shrewsbury win | 22% | 4.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Lincoln −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Teddy Bishop · Lincoln |
| 23' | 🟨 | Ryan Bowman · Shrewsbury |
| 42' | 🟨 | Elliott Bennett · Shrewsbury |
| 58' | ⚽ | Reeco Hackett-Fairchild · Lincoln |
| 67' | ⚽ | Lasse Sorensen · Lincoln |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lincoln | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | LNER Stadium |
| coach days | 118.00 | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1491.07 | 1387.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.14 | 4.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 64.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.64 |
| league points | 48.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.29 | -1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.37 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | -0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |