← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Drysdale
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
| Wycombe win | 22% | 4.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Wycombe −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Nigel Cello Lonwijk · Wycombe |
| 23' | ⚽ | Carl Piergianni · Stevenage |
| 48' | 🟥 | Max Stryjek · Wycombe |
| 81' | 🟨 | Taye Ashby-Hammond · Stevenage |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stevenage | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | The Lamex Stadium |
| coach days | 725.00 | 388.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1484.64 | 1464.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.55 | 26.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.78 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.70 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.65 |
| league points | 53.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 62.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.66 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.74 | -1.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.54 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.98 | -1.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |