← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Woods
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Leyton Orient win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Leyton Orient −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Josh Murphy · Oxford |
| 4' | 🟨 | Ollie O'Neill · Leyton Orient |
| 18' | 🟨 | Idris El Mizouni · Leyton Orient |
| 20' | ⚽ | Tyler Goodrham · Oxford |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ruel Sotiriou · Leyton Orient |
| 50' | 🟨 | Brandon Cooper · Leyton Orient |
| 51' | ⚽ | Ollie O'Neill · Leyton Orient |
| 57' | 🟨 | Ciaron Brown · Oxford |
| 77' | ⚽ | George Moncur · Leyton Orient |
| 81' | 🟨 | Shaqai Forde · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 115.00 | 725.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1496.06 | 1479.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.72 | -0.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | 1.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.74 |
| league points | 57.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.80 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |