← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Feb 24, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Breakspear
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 51% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.89 |
| Cambridge win | 24% | 4.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro +0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Cambridge +0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Jack Lankester · Cambridge |
| 55' | ⚽ | Ephron Mason-Clark · Peterboro |
| 58' | 🟨 | Michael Morrison · Cambridge |
| 65' | 🟨 | Ryan Bennett · Cambridge |
| 70' | 🟨 | Josh Knight · Peterboro |
| 79' | 🟨 | Danny Andrew · Cambridge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jadel Katongo · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cambridge | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Cledara Abbey Stadium |
| coach days | 85.00 | 419.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 4.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1384.26 | 1551.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.71 | -67.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.30 | 64.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| league points | 38.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.00 | 63.80 |
| rest days | 3.68 | 6.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -2.31 | 1.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.20 | 1.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |