← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Feb 20, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: C. Breakspear
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford win | 55% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Northampton win | 20% | 5.02 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Northampton −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Josh Murphy · Oxford |
| 35' | ⚽ | William Hondermarck · Northampton |
| 74' | 🟨 | William Hondermarck · Northampton |
| 78' | 🟨 | Tyreece Simpson · Northampton |
| 81' | ⚽ | Will Goodwin · Oxford |
| 82' | 🟨 | Mitchell Pinnock · Northampton |
| 89' | 🟨 | Rúben Rodrigues · Oxford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sam Hoskins · Northampton |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tony Springett · Northampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 5 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 111.00 | 1114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1499.17 | 1447.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.45 | -23.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.56 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.58 |
| league points | 56.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.35 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.64 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |