← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Feb 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Swabey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Shrewsbury win | 35% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Shrewsbury +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 49' | 🟨 | Babajide Adeeko · Wigan |
| 50' | 🟨 | Chey Dunkley · Shrewsbury |
| 51' | 🟨 | Jason Kerr · Wigan |
| 57' | ⚽ | Matthew Smith · Wigan |
| 58' | 🟨 | Marko Maroši · Shrewsbury |
| 62' | 🟨 | Aaron Pierre · Shrewsbury |
| 63' | 🟨 | Sean Clare · Wigan |
| 77' | 🟨 | Elliott Bennett · Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 14 | Corners | 5 |
| 24 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| coach days | 47.00 | 412.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1382.47 | 1477.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.82 | -16.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.63 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| league points | 35.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.20 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.78 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 27.40 |
| state index | -0.41 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.66 | 0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |