← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Feb 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Reading win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Portsmouth −1 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Conor Shaughnessy · Portsmouth |
| 36' | ⚽ | Paddy Lane · Portsmouth |
| 40' | 🟨 | Lewis Wing · Reading |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marlon Pack · Portsmouth |
| 45' | 🟨 | Femi Azeez · Reading |
| 45' | 🟨 | Clinton Mola · Reading |
| 49' | ⚽ | Marlon Pack · Portsmouth |
| 59' | ⚽ | Callum Lang · Portsmouth |
| 67' | 🟨 | Joe Rafferty · Portsmouth |
| 84' | ⚽ | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 89' | ⚽ | Charlie Savage · Reading |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josh Martin · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| coach days | 412.00 | 261.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 3.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1586.05 | 1477.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.47 | 23.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.74 |
| league points | 69.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 64.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 2.09 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | -1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | — | 31.41 |
| state index | 0.67 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| travel km | — | 69.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |