← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Feb 13, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: T. Parsons
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 46% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Shrewsbury win | 27% | 3.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Barnsley +0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.77 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ (og) | Nicky Cadden · Shrewsbury |
| 49' | 🟨 | Malvind Benning · Shrewsbury |
| 58' | 🟨 | Adam Phillips · Barnsley |
| 61' | 🟨 | Maël de Gevigney · Barnsley |
| 67' | 🟨 | Marko Maroši · Shrewsbury |
| 89' | 🟨 | Taylor Perry · Shrewsbury |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Herbie Kane · Barnsley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 21 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| coach days | 43.00 | 622.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1378.46 | 1585.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.50 | 4.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.73 |
| league points | 34.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.80 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.71 | -0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| state index | -0.51 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.17 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |