← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Feb 13, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth win | 66% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.50 |
| Cambridge win | 12% | 8.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge −1.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Portsmouth −1.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Ryan Bennett · Cambridge |
| 38' | ⚽ | Danny Andrew · Cambridge |
| 39' | 🟨 | Will Norris · Portsmouth |
| 44' | 🟨 | Jack Stevens · Cambridge |
| 44' | 🟨 | Jack Lankester · Cambridge |
| 44' | ⚽ (pen) | Kusini Yengi · Portsmouth |
| 45' | 🟨 | James Gibbons · Cambridge |
| 59' | ⚽ | Myles Peart-Harris · Portsmouth |
| 61' | 🟨 | Michael Morrison · Cambridge |
| 71' | ⚽ | Abu Kamara · Portsmouth |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jack Sparkes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Cambridge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| coach days | 408.00 | 74.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1580.65 | 1377.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.72 | 7.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | -0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 66.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.78 |
| league points | 66.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 64.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 2.06 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | -1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.69 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.55 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |