← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Feb 13, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Atkinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient win | 59% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Northampton win | 17% | 5.87 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient −0.75 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Northampton −0.75 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Idris El Mizouni · Leyton Orient |
| 31' | 🟨 | Dominic Gape · Northampton |
| 35' | ⚽ | Ollie O'Neill · Leyton Orient |
| 41' | 🟨 | Jordan Brown · Leyton Orient |
| 45' | ⚽ | Marc Leonard · Northampton |
| 58' | ⚽ | Shaqai Forde · Leyton Orient |
| 77' | ⚽ | Kieron Bowie · Northampton |
| 80' | ⚽ | Ruel Sotiriou · Leyton Orient |
| 83' | ⚽ | Tyreece Simpson · Northampton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jon Guthrie · Northampton |
| 90' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.55 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Gaughan Group Stadium |
| coach days | 714.00 | 1107.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1486.43 | 1442.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.66 | -18.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.70 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.60 |
| league points | 45.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |