← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Feb 13, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Mather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 38% | 2.62 |
| Fleetwood Town win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Fleetwood Town +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Tyler Bindon · Reading |
| 74' | ⚽ | Lewis Wing · Reading |
| 80' | 🟨 | Clinton Mola · Reading |
| 88' | 🟨 | David Button · Reading |
| 90' | ⚽ | Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu · Fleetwood Town |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fleetwood Town | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.68 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Highbury Stadium |
| coach days | 74.00 | 257.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1364.30 | 1478.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.20 | 38.33 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 64.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.74 |
| league points | 25.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 63.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.81 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.98 | -1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | — | 31.41 |
| state index | -0.34 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.90 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |