← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Feb 13, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Corlett
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Cheltenham win | 31% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Blackpool +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Lewis Freestone · Cheltenham |
| 31' | ⚽ | Elliot Bonds · Cheltenham |
| 39' | 🟨 | Matty Taylor · Cheltenham |
| 52' | 🟨 | Will Ferry · Cheltenham |
| 65' | 🟨 | Liam Kinsella · Cheltenham |
| 68' | 🟨 | Oliver Casey · Blackpool |
| 85' | ⚽ | Elliot Bonds · Cheltenham |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel · Blackpool |
| 90' | 🟨 | Albie Morgan · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 3 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cheltenham | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Completely-Suzuki Stadium |
| coach days | 622.00 | 288.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1384.66 | 1494.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.31 | 3.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.50 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.76 |
| league points | 26.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -2.23 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.32 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |