← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Feb 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Tallis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Port Vale win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale +0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Stevenage +0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ (og) | Terence Vancooten · Port Vale |
| 28' | 🟨 | Jason Lowe · Port Vale |
| 33' | 🟨 | Carl Piergianni · Stevenage |
| 37' | 🟨 | Jake Forster-Caskey · Stevenage |
| 52' | ⚽ | Jamie Reid · Stevenage |
| 58' | ⚽ | Terence Vancooten · Stevenage |
| 82' | 🟨 | Alex Mighten · Port Vale |
| 89' | 🟨 | Thomas Sang · Port Vale |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dan Butler · Stevenage |
| 90' | 🟨 | Craig MacGillivray · Stevenage |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Port Vale | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Vale Park |
| coach days | 9.00 | 711.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1352.10 | 1506.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.38 | 8.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.98 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.50 | 66.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| league points | 30.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 61.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.03 | -1.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| state index | -1.24 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | -0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |