← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Feb 6, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: P. Howard
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.72 |
| Reading win | 20% | 4.87 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading −0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Stevenage −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Charlie Savage · Reading |
| 39' | 🟨 | Clinton Mola · Reading |
| 45' | ⚽ (og) | Vadaine Oliver · Reading |
| 89' | 🟨 | Harvey Knibbs · Reading |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan · Reading |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 4 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stevenage | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | The Lamex Stadium |
| coach days | 707.00 | 250.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1520.27 | 1454.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.29 | 13.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.30 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 52.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.81 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | — | 31.41 |
| state index | 0.71 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.00 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |