← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Feb 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Hicks
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Cambridge win | 30% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Shrewsbury −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Daniel Udoh · Shrewsbury |
| 14' | ⚽ | Lyle Taylor · Cambridge |
| 46' | ⚽ | Lyle Taylor · Cambridge |
| 87' | 🟨 | George Thomas · Cambridge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aaron Pierre · Shrewsbury |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tom Bloxham · Shrewsbury |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tom Bloxham · Shrewsbury |
| 90' | 🟥 | Tom Bloxham · Shrewsbury |
| 90' | 🟨 | Liam Bennett · Cambridge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Cambridge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.14 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.16 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| coach days | 33.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1383.55 | 1377.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.66 | -13.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -1.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.63 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 65.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| league points | 33.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -2.45 | -0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.07 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |