← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Feb 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Coy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Wycombe win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham +0 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Wycombe +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Jack Grimmer · Wycombe |
| 29' | ⚽ | Garath McCleary · Wycombe |
| 38' | 🟨 | Jack Grimmer · Wycombe |
| 49' | ⚽ (og) | Curtis Davies · Wycombe |
| 58' | ⚽ | Matty Taylor · Cheltenham |
| 60' | 🟨 | Matt Butcher · Wycombe |
| 87' | 🟨 | Matty Taylor · Cheltenham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cheltenham | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Completely-Suzuki Stadium |
| coach days | 612.00 | 367.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1388.09 | 1433.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.02 | -3.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 41.80 | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| league points | 23.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 18.80 |
| skill v1 | -2.60 | -1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.85 | -0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |