← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Feb 3, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Oldham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford win | 45% | 2.12 |
| Reading win | 28% | 3.58 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Reading −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Michael Craig · Reading |
| 32' | ⚽ | Mark Harris · Oxford |
| 63' | 🟨 | Andy Yiadom · Reading |
| 65' | 🟨 | Tyler Goodrham · Oxford |
| 71' | 🟨 | Femi Azeez · Reading |
| 76' | ⚽ (og) | Ciaron Brown · Reading |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 94.00 | 247.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1486.34 | 1452.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.42 | 11.31 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| league points | 50.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | -0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | — | 31.41 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | -0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |