← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Jan 30, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: D. Drysdale
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Oxford win | 29% | 3.37 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Oxford +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ | Tyler Goodrham · Oxford |
| 58' | 🟨 | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 69' | ⚽ | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 80' | ⚽ | Callum Lang · Portsmouth |
| 81' | 🟨 | Myles Peart-Harris · Portsmouth |
| 90' | ⚽ | James Henry · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 90.00 | 394.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1485.72 | 1567.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.98 | -22.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.76 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 64.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.82 |
| league points | 49.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 62.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 2.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | 0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.32 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |