← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Jan 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Corlett
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 73% | 1.32 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.75 |
| Shrewsbury win | 10% | 10.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro −1.5 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Shrewsbury −1.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Ronnie Edwards · Peterboro |
| 33' | 🟨 | Carl Winchester · Shrewsbury |
| 41' | ⚽ | Jordan Shipley · Shrewsbury |
| 51' | ⚽ | Joel Randall · Peterboro |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jordan Shipley · Shrewsbury |
| 68' | ⚽ | Josh Knight · Peterboro |
| 77' | 🟨 | Chey Dunkley · Shrewsbury |
| 78' | 🟨 | Archie Collins · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 14 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days | 384.00 | 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.23 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1615.52 | 1364.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.13 | -21.77 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | -1.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.80 | 45.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 52.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 55.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.43 | -2.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.20 |
| state index | 0.67 | -0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | -1.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |