← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Jan 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Kirk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Shrewsbury win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury +0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Stevenage +0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 55' | 🟨 | Terence Vancooten · Stevenage |
| 67' | 🟨 | Nohan Kenneh · Shrewsbury |
| 84' | ⚽ | Jamie Reid · Stevenage |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jake Forster-Caskey · Stevenage |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.83 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| coach days | 12.00 | 683.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1372.96 | 1492.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.95 | 5.20 |
| eye test v1 | -1.05 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.50 | 65.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| league points | 30.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 61.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -2.62 | -1.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.67 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.83 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |