← EFL League One 2023-24 · Mon, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Miles
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Shrewsbury win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town +0 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Shrewsbury +0 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Nohan Kenneh · Shrewsbury |
| 31' | 🟨 | Shaun Rooney · Fleetwood Town |
| 45' | 🟨 | Callum Dolan · Fleetwood Town |
| 45' | ⚽ | Chey Dunkley · Shrewsbury |
| 51' | 🟨 | Morgan Feeney · Shrewsbury |
| 58' | ⚽ | Jordan Shipley · Shrewsbury |
| 65' | 🟨 | Elliott Bennett · Shrewsbury |
| 66' | ⚽ | Shaun Rooney · Fleetwood Town |
| 86' | 🟨 | Max Mata · Shrewsbury |
| 87' | 🟨 | Taylor Perry · Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.08 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 0.00 | 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1360.52 | 1360.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.67 | -21.67 |
| eye test v1 | -1.66 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.83 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.40 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| league points | 27.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.40 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 0.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -2.86 | -1.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 0.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| state index | -1.00 | -1.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.64 | -1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |