← EFL League One 2023-24 · Mon, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Chilowicz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Oxford win | 35% | 2.76 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Oxford +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Chem Campbell · Charlton |
| 22' | ⚽ | Mark Harris · Oxford |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcus McGuane · Oxford |
| 53' | 🟨 | Josh McEachran · Oxford |
| 60' | 🟨 | Lloyd Jones · Charlton |
| 85' | ⚽ | Oisin Smyth · Oxford |
| 89' | 🟨 | Karoy Anderson · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | The Valley |
| coach days | 0.00 | 61.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 2.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1464.87 | 1489.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.69 | -3.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | 0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 49.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.65 |
| league points | 29.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |