← EFL League One 2023-24 · Mon, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Brook
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge win | 37% | 2.69 |
| Leyton Orient win | 33% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Leyton Orient +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Jack Lankester · Cambridge |
| 25' | 🟨 | Omar Beckles · Leyton Orient |
| 39' | 🟨 | Theodore Archibald · Leyton Orient |
| 44' | 🟨 | Thomas James · Leyton Orient |
| 54' | ⚽ | Jordan Brown · Leyton Orient |
| 57' | ⚽ | Daniel Agyei · Leyton Orient |
| 68' | 🟨 | Ethan Galbraith · Leyton Orient |
| 84' | 🟨 | Shaqai Forde · Leyton Orient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cambridge | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Cledara Abbey Stadium |
| coach days | 31.00 | 671.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1385.20 | 1424.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.40 | 1.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.10 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| league points | 27.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 65.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.19 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.92 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |