← EFL League One 2023-24 · Mon, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Edwards
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 63% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Lincoln win | 15% | 6.99 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool −1 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Lincoln −1 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | James Husband · Blackpool |
| 28' | 🟨 | Timothy Eyoma · Lincoln |
| 29' | ⚽ | Oliver Casey · Blackpool |
| 36' | 🟨 | Jordan Rhodes · Blackpool |
| 40' | 🟨 | Matthew Virtue-Thick · Blackpool |
| 90' | ⚽ | CJ Hamilton · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days | 245.00 | 61.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1479.13 | 1461.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.95 | -32.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -1.78 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| league points | 36.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 39.60 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -1.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |