← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford win | 58% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.01 |
| Cambridge win | 18% | 5.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cambridge −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Jordan Cousins · Cambridge |
| 44' | 🟨 | Ciaron Brown · Oxford |
| 53' | 🟨 | George Thomas · Cambridge |
| 54' | ⚽ | Tyler Goodrham · Oxford |
| 72' | 🟨 | Cameron Brannagan · Oxford |
| 74' | 🟨 | Adam May · Cambridge |
| 90' | 🟨 | James Brophy · Cambridge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jack Stevens · Cambridge |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ciaron Brown · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Cambridge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 55.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1493.06 | 1390.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.01 | 6.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.66 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 66.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| league points | 40.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | -0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |