← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Breakspear
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Exeter win | 30% | 3.33 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Exeter +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Wycombe +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Dion Rankine · Exeter |
| 45' | 🟨 | Cheick Diabaté · Exeter |
| 50' | 🟨 | Kane Vincent-Young · Wycombe |
| 62' | 🟨 | Jack Aitchison · Exeter |
| 65' | ⚽ | Sonny Cox · Exeter |
| 69' | 🟨 | Kieran Sadlier · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Exeter | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | St James Park |
| coach days | 451.00 | 328.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.84 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1357.50 | 1447.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.76 | -32.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| league points | 19.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 62.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | -1.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| state index | -1.67 | -0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | -0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |