← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Howard
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham win | 45% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Shrewsbury win | 26% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham −0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Shrewsbury −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Robert Street · Cheltenham |
| 9' | 🟨 | Marko Maroši · Shrewsbury |
| 34' | 🟨 | Joseph Anderson · Shrewsbury |
| 34' | ⚽ | George Lloyd · Cheltenham |
| 36' | 🟨 | Curtis Thompson · Cheltenham |
| 58' | 🟨 | Aaron Pierre · Shrewsbury |
| 65' | 🟨 | Chey Dunkley · Shrewsbury |
| 80' | 🟨 | Tunmise Sobowale · Shrewsbury |
| 85' | ⚽ | George Lloyd · Cheltenham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cheltenham | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Completely-Suzuki Stadium |
| coach days | 573.00 | 1150.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -5.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1375.43 | 1380.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.71 | 7.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.84 | -0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.50 | 40.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 16.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 56.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.00 | 31.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.76 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -3.14 | -3.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.30 | -2.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |