← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Dec 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Atkinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 45% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Port Vale win | 27% | 3.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Port Vale −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 51' | ⚽ | Kieran Sadlier · Wycombe |
| 57' | 🟨 | Nathan Smith · Port Vale |
| 63' | 🟨 | Sam Vokes · Wycombe |
| 64' | 🟨 | Josh Scowen · Wycombe |
| 83' | 🟨 | Killian Phillips · Wycombe |
| 86' | 🟨 | Lyle Taylor · Wycombe |
| 88' | 🟨 | Dale Taylor · Wycombe |
| 89' | 🟨 | Luke Leahy · Wycombe |
| 90' | ⚽ | James Wilson · Port Vale |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 6 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 325.00 | 266.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 3.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1450.78 | 1375.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.36 | 15.71 |
| eye test v1 | -1.62 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.74 |
| league points | 23.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.11 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.60 |
| state index | -1.07 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |