← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Dec 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Coy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 62% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.33 |
| Shrewsbury win | 16% | 5.95 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury +1 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Peterboro +1 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 53' | 🟨 | Ryan Bowman · Shrewsbury |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ephron Mason-Clark · Peterboro |
| 58' | ⚽ | Jordan Shipley · Shrewsbury |
| 64' | ⚽ | Ricky-Jade Jones · Peterboro |
| 76' | 🟨 | Jordan Shipley · Shrewsbury |
| 77' | ⚽ | Hector Kyprianou · Peterboro |
| 87' | 🟨 | Malvind Benning · Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 17 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| coach days | 1147.00 | 356.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.46 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1386.42 | 1598.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.14 | 32.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.84 | 1.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.20 | 64.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 27.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 87.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 31.80 | 67.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 10.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 20.00 |
| skill v1 | -3.03 | 2.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 6.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.40 |
| state index | -0.54 | 1.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.06 | 0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |