← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Dec 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth win | 73% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.61 |
| Fleetwood Town win | 10% | 10.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth −1.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Fleetwood Town −1.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 63' | ⚽ | Josh Earl · Fleetwood Town |
| 69' | 🟨 | Christian Saydee · Portsmouth |
| 70' | 🟨 | Callum Dolan · Fleetwood Town |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jack Sparkes · Portsmouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anthony Scully · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 356.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1614.61 | 1364.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.13 | -29.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | 0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.65 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | — |
| league points | 48.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.29 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| state index | 0.73 | -0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | -1.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |