← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Dec 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Hicks
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Northampton win | 30% | 3.33 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Northampton +0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.89 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | ⚽ | Kieron Bowie · Northampton |
| 62' | ⚽ (pen) | Cameron Brannagan · Oxford |
| 66' | 🟨 | Patrick Brough · Northampton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tyreece Simpson · Northampton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ciaron Brown · Oxford |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tyreece Simpson · Northampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Northampton | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Sixfields Stadium |
| coach days | 1055.00 | 52.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1444.46 | 1503.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.11 | -19.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| league points | 27.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.12 | 0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.78 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |